Eight three-year-old fillies go to the post in Monday’s $200,000 Pebbles at Belmont Park. (photo credit: © Cheryl Quigley | Dreamstime.com)
Trainer Chad Brown will send out three fillies in Monday’s $200,000 Pebbles at Belmont Park, and an argument could made for any of the trio to come out on top.
Brown has been dominant in turf races, in the last year winning 26 graded stakes races on the lawn. He is not afraid to run several rumens, and it has paid off. He ran one-two in the Flower Bowl Invitational (G1) on Oct. 3 with Stephanie’s Kitten and Danza Cavallo and the Joe Hirsch Turf Classic (G1) a week earlier with Big Blue Kitten and Slumber.
Brown’s trio in the Pebbles could end up the three betting favorites, and it is tough to separate Partisan Politics (5-2), Light in Paris (3-1) and Consumer Credit (4-1).
Morning line favorite Partisan Politics is coming off a tough nose loss in the Riskaverse. Light in Paris makes her U.S. debut while Consumer Credit is looking to bounce back off a fifth place finish in the Lake Placid (G2).
The filly with the best shot of beating the Brown contingent is the Todd Pletcher trained Isabella Sings. The filly set the early fractions and was caught late in a runner up finish in the Boiling Spring (G3) at Monmouth Park, beaten a nose by Strict Compliance. The outing was at nine furlongs and the cut back to a mile here should suit her.
The Columbus Day card at Belmont Park kicks off at 12:55 ET.
Let’s head out to Belmont Park for Monday’s featured race of the day:
Belmont Park Race 9 The Pebbles (Post time 5:19 ET)
#5 Consumer Credit 4-1
#2 Partisan Politics 5-2
#3 Light In Paris 3-1
#1 Isabella Sings 7-2
Analysis: Consumer Credit leads a trio of runners sent out by the Chad Brown barn. The filly was beaten 11 1/4 lengths last out in the Lake Placid (G2) but may have been just too close to the lead that day. The winner Senterio Italia came back to win the Sands Point (G2) in her next start and then was third as the chalk in Saturday’s QEII Challenge Cup (G1) at Keeneland. The third place finisher Strict Compliance came back to win the Boiling Spring (G3) in her next outing on Sept. 5 at Monmouth Park. The cut back to a mile looks key here, as the 1 1/4 miles she ran two and three back may have been beyond her scope. She has three stakes wins, two at a mile and one at 1 1/16 miles.
Partisan Politics came with a good five wide run and rallied to come up just a nose shy as the 4-5 chalk last out in the Riskaverse at the Spa. She is 0 for 3 this year but has run well in each trip, a close up fourth two back in the Lake George (G2) and a nose loss in the Wild Applause three back off a 7 1/2 month layoff. It looks as if she should get a good pace set up here.
Light in Paris is making her U.S. debut here for Brown who is 25% winners with runners making their North American debuts. The filly has won four of her nine career starts but her lone try against Group company came at Longchamp last fall and she was a non-threatening eighth. She adds lasix to the mix here and we have seen these Euro shippers without a ton of apparent class run well.
Wagering
WIN: #5 to win at 3-1 or better.
EX: 2,5 / 1,2,3,5
TRI: 2,5 / 1,2,3,5 / 1,2,3,4,5
Michael Dempsey’s Breeders’ Cup Report
Michael’s Breeders’ Cup Report includes his selections, analysis, fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for every race on the card from Keeneland on Oc. 30-31.
The Breeders’ Cup offers 12 championship races over two days, bringing together the best top horses, trainers, and jockeys from around the world, this year to compete at Keeneland.
In 2013 on Breeders’ Cup Saturday Mike nailed seven recommended exactas, paying $53.20, $19.00, $23.20, $58.00, $66.60, $107.80, and $33.60!
