Looking for Shooting Star in Saratoga Dew at Spa

A field of 10 go in the $100,000 Saratoga Dew on Monday at the Spa  (Photo credit: © Bratty1206 | Dreamstime.com)

A field of 10 go in the $100,000 Saratoga Dew on Monday at the Spa (Photo credit: © Bratty1206 | Dreamstime.com)

A competitive field of 10 fillies and mares will line up in Monday’s feature at Saratoga, the $100,000 Saratoga Dew at nine furlongs on the main track.

After the second half of Saturday’s card was wiped out and Sunday’s card was contested in the mud and the turf races were shifted to the main track, Mother Nature appears to be giving the area a break on Monday.

Flipcup, who was eased in the Ontario Matron at Woodbine in her last outing is the 3-1 morning line favorite. The Bill Mott trainee is the lone graded stakes winner in the field, taking the Arlington Matron (G3) on poly at Arlington Park in May as well as last fall’s Maple Leaf (G3) at Woodbine.

Mott will also saddle Isabelle (12-1), who was a distant sixth in the state bred Dancing Renee at six furlongs at Belmont Park in her last outing.

Trainer Rudy Rodriguez sends out a pair—Literata (7-2), a good second against first level allowance foes here on Aug. 5 and Jules N Rome (5-1) who was third against second level optional claimers and was taken out of the race by the barn via the claim box.

I am going with Jc’s Shooting Star (6-1), who won the New York bred Fleet Indian over the main track here last year. The David Donk trainee is better than her eighth place finish against Alw-2 optional claimers last out suggests. Manuel Franco will be in the irons.


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Let’s head out to the Spa for Monday’s featured race of the day:

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Saratoga Race 8 The Saratoga Dew (Post time 5:02 ET)

#8 Jc’s Shooting Star   6-1

#9 Literata   7-2               

#4 Bella Joy   8-1

#1 Flipcup   3-1

Analysis: Jc’s Shooting Star is back on dirt for the first time since checking in third on the inner track at the Big A against state bred Alw-2 foes. The filly was a game second two back on turf against open Alw-2 optional claimers, then regressed last out here on turf in an eighth place finish at the same level. Last summer here this gal made a good late rally to get up late to win the state bred Fleet Indian on the main track at nine furlongs at 18-1. She should get an honest pace to run at here and figures to bounce back off her last outing.

Literata comes back quick here after a good second against open Alw-1 foes last out here on Aug, 5, beaten three lengths for the top spot. The RRod barn claimed this gal for $40,000 back in January and while she has only won once in seven starts for the barn she has landed in the money in each start including a third in the state bred Critical Eye three back in the mud at Belmont Park. She fits here with her best.

Bella Joy made a good late rally to finish third last out against state bred Alw-2 optional claimers at Belmont Park off a 4 1/2 month break. She should move forward with the stretch out to a route. her state bred Alw-1 win came going two turns on the inner track. The Nicks barn is 19% winners (with a +ROI) moving runners from sprint to route.

Wagering

WIN: #8 to win at 4-1 or better.

EX: 8,9 / 1,4,8,9

TRI: 8,9 / 1,4,8,9 / 1,4,5,8,9

 

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