Trainer Chad Brown will send out three of the seven fillies in Sunday’s $200,000 Miss Grillo (G3) as he seeks his fifth win in the 1 1/16 mile turf event for juvenile fillies.
The race is not a “Win and You’re In” event, but has become a key steppingstone to the $1 million Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies Turf (G1) next month at Santa Anita.
Of Brown’s four winners, both Lady Eli (2014) and Maram (2008) parlayed their wins in the Miss Grillo into a Breeders’ Cup victory. Brown sends out Dancing Waves (7-2), New Money Honey (8-1) and Create a Dream, who is the 2-1 morning line favorite.
Create a Dream makes her first start for Brown after breaking her maiden and running fourth in the Albany Stakes (G2), both starts coming at Ascot under the care of Wesley Ward.
Dancing Waves will break from the rail and also makes her U.S. debut. She broke her maiden at Down Royal in Ireland in her second career outing by five lengths in a field of 12.
Brown’s third runner New Money Honey ran second as the beaten favorite in her debut at Saratoga on Sept. 5.
The best of the locals is the Leah Gyarmati trained Coasted, who won the P.G. Johnson at Saratoga in her first start against winners.
My Best Plays Report for Sunday includes my eight strongest plays from Belmont Park and Santa Anita.
Let’s head out to Belmont Park for Sunday’s featured race of the day:
Belmont Race 5 Miss Grillo G3 (3:36 ET)
#7 Create a Dream 2-1
#2 Coasted 5-2
#5 Rymska 10-1
#6 New Money Honey 8-1
Analysis: Create a Dream is one of three in here sent out by the Chad Brown barn that has won this race four times. The filly broke her maiden at Ascot in her debut and then ran fourth in the Albany Stakes (G3), beaten a length over good to soft ground. Those starts came under the care of the Wesley Ward barn and now returns off a three-month break for the new barn. Brown hits at a 27% clip with runners coming back off a 61-180-day layoff.
Coasted was bumped coming out of the gate, raced near the back of the pack and came with a good late rally to get up late and win the P.G. Johnson last out in her first start against winners. She was close to the pace two back in her maiden score in her turf debut and should be closer here with a better trip. She is out of the stakes winner Malibu Pier ($486,200).
Rymska is one of three in here making their U.S. debut. The filly broke her maiden at Deaville in France and then won the Prix Etalons la Cauviniere at Craon going a mile in her last outing. She is proven over ground with some give to it and a positive to see Geroux in to ride this filly.
WIN: #7 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 2,7 / 2,5,6,7
TRI: 2,7 / 2,5,6,7 / 1,2,5,6,7
Get Michael’s Best Plays Report each Saturday which will include all of the U.S. based Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races from now to Oct. 12 and Michael Dempsey’s 2-Day Breeders’ Cup Report.
Michael’s two day Breeders’ Cup Report includes his selections, analysis, fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for every race on the two-day championship event from Santa Anita on Nov. 4-5.