The fall championship meeting at Belmont Park ends on Sunday, and the final two graded stakes of the meeting highlight Saturday’s card including the $200,000 Bold Ruler (G3).
The seven-furlong Bold Ruler drew a competitive field of 13 runners and is an excellent wagering race. The co-features are the $200,000 Turnback the Alarm Handicap (G3) for fillies and mares that drew seven and the $100,000 Awad at one mile on turf for two-year-olds that drew a field of nine.
Economic Model is the 3-1 morning line favorite in the Bold Ruler. The Chad Brown trainee ran second to Defrong in the King’s Bishop (G1) at Saratoga in his last start.
Brown also saddles Threefiveindia (6-1), who was third in the Gallant Bob (G3) at Parx Racing in his last outing.
The Turnback the Alarm goes off as the fourth race on the 10-race card. Lewis Bay is the 6-5 morning line favorite for Brown. The filly was fourth in the Test (G1) in her last outing at Saratoga.
Royal by Nature is the 3-1 morning line favorite in the Awad. The Brad Cox trainee was fourth in the Bourbon (G3) at Keeneland.
My Best Plays Report for Saturday includes my nine strongest plays from Belmont Park and Keeneland including all the stakes action.
Belmont Park Race 9 The Bold Ruler G3 (Post time 5:08 ET)
#4 Economic Model 3-1
#2 Threefiveindia 6-1
#6 Stallwalkin’ Dude 7-2
#8 Ami’s Flatter 5-1
Analysis: Economic Model tracked thee early pace and finished up well for the runner up spot last out in the King’s Bishop (G1), catching a racing strip that was kind to inside speed. The winner Defrong took the field gate to wire for the Baffert barn and will be one of the favorites for the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1) next Saturday. Our top pick has landed in the exacta in 6 of his 7 career starts and while his stakes win came in the Easy Goer going 1 1/16 miles he did run second in the seven-furlong Swale (G2) at Gulfstream Park back in January in his second career start.
Threefiveindia stumbled coming out of the gate, tracked the early pace form the inside (often not the place to be at Philly) and rallied for third in the Gallant Bob behind a couple of runners being pointed toward the Sprint. The Brown trainee has earned solid numbers in his last two starts and still looks as if he has some upside. Castellano sticks as he makes his third start of his current form cycle and should be a fair price.
Stallwalkin’ Dude was a good second behind Joking and two back third behind A.P. Indian, a couple of solid sprinters that are Sprint bound. He earned a career top speed fig last out in his runner up finish in the Vosburgh (G1). He was only beaten 4 3/4 lengths when eighth in last year’s Sprint. The Jacobson trainee has earned nearly $1 million without a graded stake win.
WIN: #4 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 2,4 / 2,4,6,8
TRI: 2,4 / 2,4,6,8 / 2,4,6,8,13
Michael’s Breeders’ Cup Reports includes his selections, analysis, fair odds line, and wagering recommendations for every race during the two-day Breeders’ Cup from Santa Anita on Nov. 4-5.
The Breeders’ Cup offers 13 championship races over two days, bringing together the best top horses, trainers, and jockeys from around the world, this year to compete at Santa Anita.
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