Belmont Park Betting: Too Discreet the Value in Paradise Creek

Belmont Park Race Track

Too Discreet looks like the value in Saturday’s $100,000 Paradise Creek. (Photo credit: Bigstock.com)

A field of six will line up in Saturday’s feature at Belmont Park, with Too Discreet looking like the value at 4-1 on the morning line in the $100,000 Paradise Creek.

The race drew a field of eight three-year-olds, but with two main track only entrants a field of six will head to the gate going seven furlongs on the turf.

Mighty Mo is the 8-5 morning line favorite. The Bill Mott trainee set the early fractions and could not hold off Highland Sky in a runner up finish in the Woodhaven at Aqueduct at 1 1/16 miles on the turf. That Hall of Fame trainer Mott is off to a slow start at the Belmont Park meeting, currently 0 for 24.

Too Discreet may end up the value of the race. The Christophe Clement trainee chased the early pace and weakened to finish fourth in the Woodhaven, which was his first start off an eight-month layoff. He is perfect in two turf sprints, including winning the Schenectady at Saratoga last August.

Conquest See Ya (2-1) figures to take some betting action off an impressive maiden score here at six furlongs in his turf and local debut. The colt has run third on poly at Woodbine in his debut on April 9.

The Paradise Creek goes off as the eighth race on the 10-race card at Belmont Park with a first post of 1:30 ET.

Let’s head out to Belmont Park for Saturday’s featured race of the day:

bellogo-300x168

Belmont Park Race 8 The Paradise Creek Post time 5:13 ET

5 Too Discreet   4-1

1 Conquest See Ya   2-1

8 Mighty Mo   8-5

2 Wicked Wink   10-1

Too Discreet makes his second start off an eight-month layoff here. The colt tracked the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out going long on the turf in the Woodhaven. He won his first two career starters last summer at the Spa, breaking his maiden and then winning the 5 ½ furlong Schenectady by a neck.

The cut back figures to suit and she should be tight and ready to go second off the shelf. She has a nice pedigree, out of the stakes winner To Marquet ($198,236), who has dropped two other stakes winners, top earner Discreet Marq ($1.26 million).

Conquest See Ya faces winners for the first time after breaking his maiden last out in his second career outing going six furlongs on the turf here. The filly pressed the early pace, opened up a clear lead heading for home and held on to win by ¾ of a length under a well measured ride by Jose Lezcano. The runner up in his last outing was Drop Shot, who returned to break his maiden with a solid 87 Beyer in his next outing.

This guy is out of a stakes placed Valid Appeal mare that has dropped six other winners including three stakes winners on dirt, top earner Unlimited Budget ($758,837).

Mighty Mo cuts back from a route where she set the early fractions in the Woodhaven at the Big A and got caught late, missing by a neck. It was his first start against winners after breaking his maiden going 7 ½ on the turf at Gulfstream Park two back off the layoff in his second career outing.

The colt looks quick enough to handle the cut back to one turn here. The Mott barn is 18% winners moving runners from route to sprint. The son of Uncle Mo is a threat with his best but is going to be a light price.

Wagering:

WIN: Too Discreet to win at 3-1 or better.

EXACTA: 1,5 / 1,5,8

TRIFECTA: no play

 

Belmont Stakes Racing Festival June 7-9 $29.95

Get Michael’s full card reports for ALL three days of the Belmont Stakes Racing Festival from Thursday June 9 to Saturday June 11! 19 stakes and over $10 million in purses including the $1.5 million Belmont Stakes!

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll

No. Horse Points
1 Flightline 351
2 Life Is Good 306
3 Olympiad 292
4 Jackie's Warrior 282
5 Clairiere 142
5 Country Grammer 142
7 Epicenter 121
8 Regal Glory 89
9 Nest 87
10 Hot Rod Charlie 48
As of August 1, 2022


DRF Past Performances



Check out the most powerful
interactive Past Performances
used by Michael Dempsey. Use the code TENOFF19 which gives
you a 10% discount on any DRF Formulator plan that is one month or longer.


drf


Free Horse Racing Picks

Get free horse racing picks each day from expert race handicapper Michael Dempsey Click Here


Belmont Stakes News & Reports
Breeders' Cup
Turf ‘n’ Sport handicapper Michael Dempsey has the Belmont Stakes covered with his selections, analysis and fair odds for every race on the card!
Wager on the Belmont Stakes
Belmont Stakes News

Belmont Stakes Reports

Horse Racing Betting Tips

Horse Racing Betting Tips
Turf 'n' Sport handicappers give out basic horse racing handicapping information..