Tiz the Law Likely to be Shortest Priced Derby Favorite in Decades

Derby Favorite

Tiz the Law figures to be a very short price on the toteboard for the Kentucky Derby (G1) at Churchill Downs. (Photo credit: “Race Board, paddock area, Kentucky Derby.” by travelationship is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0)

After winning the Travers (G1) at Saratoga on Saturday by 5 ½ lengths, Tiz the Law will head to Churchill Downs next month potentially as the shortest priced favorite for the Kentucky Derby (G1) we have seen in nearly three decades.

The Barclay Tagg trainee closed at even money in Pool 7 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager on Sunday, and the colt may end up the shortest priced favorite for the Run for the Roses since Arazi went off at 9-10 in 1992.

The colt is perfect in four starts this year, winning the Holy Bull (G3), Florida Derby (G1), Belmont Stakes (G1) and now the Travers.

His previous high Beyer Speed Figure was a 100 which he earned twice, first in the Holy Bull and then in the Belmont. He topped that number on Saturday, earning a 109 Beyer for his Travers score.

His final time of 2:00.95 was the fourth fasted in the 151-year history of the race. According to Tagg, the colt came out of the race in fine shape and will have his quickest turnaround in the Derby, four weeks after his win on Saturday.

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“He looks fine,” Tagg said. “I was very pleased with the way he ran. He did everything a good horse ought to do and did it perfectly.”

“He seems to terrorize the competition when he makes his move,” Tagg added. “Every race I’ve seen, even the first one, has been great. He came off that turn, and I thought ‘They’re going to run by him like he’s standing still’ and then I look again and he’s three in front. It was the same way yesterday. I thought, ‘Get into him, Manny’ and he just kept running, running, running.”

2020 Travers Replay

The colt will train at Saratoga in the upcoming weeks before shipping to Churchill Downs, the site of the colt’s lone loss in his career.

After breaking his maiden against New York breds in his debut, he won the Champagne (G1) at Belmont Park. He then shipped to Churchill Downs for the Kentucky Jockey Club (G2) where he caught a sloppy track and finished third, beaten ¾ of a length for the top spot.

Art Collector closed as the co-second choice in Pool 7 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager along with Honor A.P., the latter getting $791 more wagered on him.

However, the pool closed shortly before Art Collector won the Ellis Park Derby where he drew away smartly to win by 3 ¼ lengths. The colt earned a Beyer Speed Figure of 100, his third consecutive triple digit Beyer.

The colt earned a 102 beating $100,000 optional claimers at Churchill Downs and then a 103 for his win in the Toyota Blue Grass (G2). The colt is trained by Thomas Drury and ridden by Bran Hernandez Jr.

He will likely compete with Honor A.P. for second choice on Derby Day. Honor A.P. won the Shared Belief at Del Mar on Aug. 1 with a Beyer of 102. That figure matched his career top first earned in his previous outing in his victory in the Santa Anita Derby (G1).

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There is one Road to the Kentucky Derby points race left on the scheduled. Saturday’s $150,000 Pegasus at Monmouth Park. The race is worth 20-8-4-2 Derby points.

Pool 7 Kentucky Derby Future Wager

1 Anneau d’Or 70-1
2 Art Collector 8-1
3 Authentic 11-1
4 Caracaro 29-1
5 Country Grammer 55-1
6 Dean Martini 66-1
7 Dr Post 40-1
8 Enforceable 36-1
9 Finnick the Fierce 99-1
10 Honor A. P. 8-1
11 King Guillermo 19-1
12 Major Fed 79-1
13 Max Player 38-1
14 Ny Traffic 30-1
15 Pneumatic 99-1
16 Rushie 99-1
17 Shared Sense 65-1
18 Shivaree 99-1
19 Sole Volante 29-1
20 South Bend 99-1
21 Thousand Words 25-1
22 Tiz the Law 1-1
23 Uncle Chuck 15-1
24 All Other 3 Year Olds 24-1

NTRA Top Thoroughbred Poll

No. Horse Points
1 Flightline 351
2 Life Is Good 306
3 Olympiad 292
4 Jackie's Warrior 282
5 Clairiere 142
5 Country Grammer 142
7 Epicenter 121
8 Regal Glory 89
9 Nest 87
10 Hot Rod Charlie 48
As of August 1, 2022

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