For horseplayers nothing beats betting and cashing a bet on the Kentucky Derby, which will be run this year on Saturday, May 5 at historic Churchill Downs.
With a 20-horse field, this year’s running is one of the more wide open races we have seen in years, and the betting favorite may end up approaching the all-time record set by Lookin At Lucky at 6.30/1 where the Bob Baffert trainee had a rough trip in a sixth place finish.
Whether you are planning to wager your bankroll to win, place, or show or dip into the exotic pools like the exacta or trifecta, expect to see large payoffs and the best wagering race of the year.
Here is a look at the payoffs for different wagers with the average payoff over the past four years in parentheses.
Animal Kingdom pulled off the upset, returning horse bettors $43.80 for a $2 wager. Mine That Bird lit up the tote in 2009, returning $103.20, one of the highest in the history of the race. Giacomo pulled off a similar upset in 2005, returning $102.60. Since 1990, there have been only two winners that have paid less than $10.00, Fusaichi Pegasus paid 6.60 in 2000 and Big Brown returned $6.80 in 2008
Finding the top two finishers in the Run for the Roses has pays its dividends. Last year Animal Kingdom and Nehro combined for a $329.80 exacta. We have seen the tote light up in recent years, including the Mine That Bird –Pioneerof the Nile exacta that paid $2,074.80. The top exacta was Giacomo along with 70-1 longshot Closing Argument, who combined for a $2 exacta that paid $9,815.00.
We have seen several incredible payoffs with the top three finishers in the Kentucky Derby. Mine That Bird topped a trifecta with Pioneerof the Nile and Musket Man that paid $41,500.60 for a $2 wager. However even if the favorite wins, the trifecta payoff can still pay off quite nicely. When Big Brown won the 2008 Kentucky Derby as the 5-2 betting choice, Eight Belles (13-1) and Denis of Cork completed a $2 trifecta that paid a hefty $3,445.60.
This wager has been the Holy Grail in recent years, capable of producing a life changing score like in 2009 when Min That Bird topped a $2 superfecta that paid $557,006.40. The smallest super payout in the last dozen years was in 2000. Fusaichi Pegasus-Aptitude-Impeachment-More Than Ready combined for a $3,270.80. Not too shabby with a 5-2 favorite winning the race. With the likelihood of another full field starting in this year’s Kentucky Derby, the potential is there for more huge payoffs again this year.
Michael Dempsey provides his selections for major tracks each racing day. Mike’s Best Plays Report is available each weekend, with his strongest plays and selections including the top stakes races.
For the third time in the last five years subscribers using Michael Dempsey‘s Kentucky Derby Report had the winner of the Kentucky Derby. In 2011 Mike nailed Animal Kingdom with his top pick, the upset winner paying $43.20 to win, $19.60 to place & $13.00 to show!
In the 2010 Kentucky Derby, Mike hit Super Saver with his top pick, the winner returning $18.00, $8.80, and $6.00.
Street Sense was his top pick in 2007, the winner returning $11.80, $6.40, and $4.60.